How an I-bond's rate is actually built
A Series I savings bond earns a composite rate made from two parts. The fixed rate is set the day you buy and never changes for the bond's 30-year life: it is your real, above-inflation return, and it is the number the buying decision should hinge on. The inflation rate resets every six months from CPI, which is the whole point of the product: your savings keep pace with prices, mechanically, without you predicting anything. For bonds bought May through October 2026 the fixed rate is 0.90% and the semiannual inflation rate is 1.67%, making a 4.26% composite.
The fine print that matters: you cannot touch the money at all for 12 months; redeeming before 5 years forfeits the last 3 months of interest; interest is federal-taxable (deferrable until you cash out) but never state-taxable, an exemption I-bonds share with Treasury bills and notes; and the composite can never go below zero, so deflation cannot eat your principal.
The formula
Value = Amount × (1 + Composite ÷ 2)2 × years
This is Treasury's own published formula, and it is why the composite (4.26%) is a touch more than fixed plus double inflation: the cross-term pays inflation on the fixed portion too. The projection holds the inflation component at today's level, which is a stated simplification: nobody knows future CPI, least of all a calculator.
Worked example
A full $10,000 purchase at the current rates (0.90% fixed, 1.67% semiannual inflation: 4.26% composite), held 5 years: it compounds semiannually to $12,346.20, an effective 4.31% a year, with no penalty at the 5-year mark.
Cash out at 3 years instead and the last 3 months of interest are forfeited: about $118.96, leaving $11,229.06. And the tax race: a 4.30% CD in a state with a 6% income tax keeps only 4.04% after the state's cut, while the I-bond's 4.26% is untouched: equivalent to a fully taxable 4.53%. The lower sticker rate wins.
When I-bonds win, and when they do not
I-bonds are insurance against inflation, not a yield play. When inflation runs hot, their composite chases it automatically while CD holders watch their locked rates fall behind in real terms; when inflation cools, the composite sags with it and a good locked CD or Treasury can pull ahead. That is why the fixed rate deserves most of your attention when buying: it is the part that persists after every inflation cycle washes through, and periods with a meaningful fixed rate (like today's 0.90%) are historically the better vintages to buy.
The practical playbook: the money must be spare for at least a year (the lockup has no exceptions), the best holding periods are either 5+ years or a deliberate shorter plan that accepts the 3-month penalty (which this page prices rather than hides), and the $10,000 per-person annual limit means a couple can shelter $20,000 a year, with purchases made late in a month earning from the 1st of that month regardless. For the same state-tax-free yield without purchase limits or lockups, Treasury bills are the sibling product: compare their yield to the I-bond composite directly, no adjustment needed, and let the inflation-protection question break the tie.
Your next step: the only store there is
I bonds are sold in exactly one place: TreasuryDirect.gov, the US Treasury's own site, up to $10,000 per person per calendar year. No bank sells them, no brokerage sells them, and no one collects a commission on them, including us, which makes this the easiest recommendation on the site: there is nobody to be conflicted for. Open the account, link your bank, buy the bond, and note the twelve-month lockup this page already prices before you commit money you might need sooner.